Weekly Market Update, August 4, 2014



Presented by Mark Gallagher

General market news
• The S&P 500 Index suffered its worst weekly decline since 2012, dropping 2.7 percent in a five-day span. Markets fell on Thursday as news broke that Standard & Poor’s had downgraded Argentina and announced that the country was in default on some of its debt.
• In Europe, more disappointing news dampened investor sentiment, as a weaker-than-expected reading on inflation rekindled fears of deflation.
• Last week’s Federal Reserve meeting was in line with expectations. Although the economy is improving, concerns about the labor markets remain, and the Fed is committed to keeping rates low until the numbers improve dramatically.
• Treasury yields last week were higher initially, with the 10-year note briefly hitting 2.61 percent. With mixed economic news and the Fed’s meeting, however, they ended the week where they had begun. The 10-year starts this week where it left off, at approximately 2.49 percent.

Equity Index 

Week-to-Date %          Month-to-Date %         Year-to-Date %          12-Month %
S&P 500

−2.66%                                    −0.29%                               5.36%                             15.14%
Nasdaq Composite 

−2.16%                                       −0.39%                               4.92%                            19.95%

−2.74%                                      −0.42%                               0.77%                              8.03%

−2.13%                                    −0.75%                               2.46%                           13.88%
MSCI Emerging Markets

−1.67%                                     −0.52%                             7.70%                           14.28%
Russell 2000 

−2.59%                                    −0.46%                            −3.50%                           6.57%
Source: Bloomberg

Fixed Income Index 

Month-to-Date %               Year-to-Date %                  12-Month %
U.S. Broad Market 

0.22%                                        4.10%                                           4.90%
U.S. Treasury 

0.29%                                       3.36%                                            3.27%
U.S. Mortgages 

0.27%                                        3.73%                                            5.04%
Municipal Bond 

0.01%                                         6.79%                                           8.02%
Source: Bloomberg

What to look forward to
This week will be a very light one for economic data. We’ll see ISM Non-Manufacturing and Factory Order data on Tuesday, which is expected to increase.

In addition, we’ll see information on Consumer Credit, which is expected to contract.

Disclosures: Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. All indices are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment by the public. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The S&P 500 is based on the average performance of the 500 industrial stocks monitored by Standard & Poor’s. The Nasdaq Composite Index measures the performance of all issues listed in the Nasdaq Stock Market, except for rights, warrants, units, and convertible debentures. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is computed by summing the prices of the stocks of 30 large companies and then dividing that total by an adjusted value, one which has been adjusted over the years to account for the effects of stock splits on the prices of the 30 companies. Dividends are reinvested to reflect the actual performance of the underlying securities. The MSCI EAFE Index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a market capitalization-weighted index composed of companies representative of the market structure of 26 emerging market countries in Europe, Latin America, and the Pacific Basin. The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000® Index. The Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged market value-weighted performance benchmark for investment-grade fixed-rate debt issues, including government, corporate, asset-backed, and mortgage-backed securities with maturities of at least one year. The U.S. Treasury Index is based on the auctions of U.S. Treasury bills, or on the U.S. Treasury’s daily yield curve. The Barclays Capital Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Index is an unmanaged market value-weighted index of 15- and 30-year fixed-rate securities backed by mortgage pools of the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC), and balloon mortgages with fixed-rate coupons. The Barclays Capital Municipal Bond Index includes investment-grade, tax-exempt, and fixed-rate bonds with long-term maturities (greater than 2 years) selected from issues larger than $50 million. The Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) Index measures the performance of intermediate (1- to 10-year) U.S. TIPS.


For IARs: Mark Gallagher is a financial advisor located at Gallagher Financial Services at 2586 East 7th Street, North Saint Paul, MN 55106. He offers securities and advisory services as an Investment Adviser Representative of Commonwealth Financial Network®, Member FINRA/SIPC, a Registered Investment Adviser. He can be reached at 651-774-5427 or at mark@markgallagher.com.

Authored by the Investment Research team at Commonwealth Financial Network.

© 2014 Commonwealth Financial Network®